Thunder Dan's Best Bets

Thunder Dan's Best Bets

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Thunder Dan's Best Bets
Thunder Dan's Best Bets
MLB Best Bets: Friday 4/11

MLB Best Bets: Friday 4/11

Friday Baseball, Big Boy Bats, and Bombs

Dan Palyo's avatar
Dan Palyo
Apr 11, 2025
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Thunder Dan's Best Bets
Thunder Dan's Best Bets
MLB Best Bets: Friday 4/11
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It’s a beautiful day for baseball! Well, here in central PA, it’s rainy and cold, and my daughter’s tee ball practice was already cancelled.

But I meant that in a theoretical sense, as we have a huge slate of MLB games and several different ways to get action tonight.

The first thing I have to do is plug this new article at RotoBaller, as they help me keep the lights on here by paying me to do daily DFS and betting content there. It’s my first crack at HR props this season! It took me nearly a week to build a model that I liked, and I waited for a big slate like tonight before attempting these bets.

Please read the piece for the rationale on each bet, and be advised that for tracking purposes, I am only betting .2 units on each of these, for a grand total of one unit across all five HR bets. They are highly variable and not “bankroll building” bets, but more for fun, and when they hit, it’s going to be icing on the cake if we are winning our other types of bets at a sustainable rate.

Here they are all in one spot for easy reference…


Straight Bets - Sides/Totals

Being a little aggressive here with some run line bets as the money line market isn’t as strong today. Two F5s in here as well.

MONEY LINE PARLAY

Fun fact - we have only missed the ML Parlay TWICE all season! That’s been a huge boon to the bankroll and has helped us get to +12.5 units through the first 3+ weeks.

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