Thunder Dan's Best Bets

Thunder Dan's Best Bets

MLB Best Bets: Sat, 4/8

The Day After the Debacle

Dan Palyo's avatar
Dan Palyo
Apr 08, 2023
∙ Paid

I knew it was coming. I didn’t think it would be this bad, but regression hit hard yesterday as MOST of my bets missed for the first real BAD day of the season. It’s funny because I even mentioned that it was coming a few times, but I was hoping we could just win every day all season long. That wasn’t realistic, and I knew it.

I had to roll out of bed this morning at 5 AM and go through the same process. I kept thinking, “What did I miss yesterday?” and I came away with this conclusion.

Some of the stuff that happened was WEIRD and unexpected - typical baseball variance rearing its ugly head. But I also think I got a little too big for my britches in that I made some assumptions about certain pitchers and teams based on fairly small sample sizes, too.

So today’s card is significantly smaller, even with 15 games. I am not recommending any bets that I am not really in love with today and there were a bunch of games and props where I had a lean, but it wasn’t strong enough to make the cut. My idea here is to bounce back with a positive day by betting on fewer bets, not more.

I’m going to skip the recap of yesterday, not because it was so bad but because I am tight on time today. We are hosting Easter dinner and the subsequent egg hunt at our place and I was out of town all day yesterday so the yard isn’t mowed, and our house is a mess - you get the picture!

I will recap both yesterday and today for tomorrow and update all the records, I just don’t have the time today!


Straight Bets

3-Stars:

Tampa Bay -1.5 (-145)

Our guys Springs going up against Oakland’s import Fujinami who got absolutely blown up in his debut. Tampa is rolling right along and they are 7-0 on the year and have cleared the run line in EVERY GAME. Pretty wild, but I think they can do it again today.

2-Stars: NONE

1-Star: NONE

Money Line Parlays:

NYM + TBR = (+111 DK)


Strikeout Props

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