Doing some simple reflection on my spreadsheet outlining my plays, I have come to this conclusion…
So far my most profitable bets have been money line, run line, and ML parlay bets. So why I am making so few of those and so many K prop bets instead?
It’s simple logic - I like K props and I know that I have been good at them in the past. But right now, I am whiffing more often than I should be and I really need more data before I can get more confident with those picks.
So today, we are sitting out K props and going hard on some game sides. Here are FOUR bets that I love and a ML parlay today, let’s aim to be profitable and keep building from there!
Results + 2024 BB Tracker
I wanted to start the season with 100% transparency and maintain it throughout the season, I think it’s important for everyone to see that every bet is being tracked.
Check the link to see the results.
Season Total: -25.97 UNITS
Game Sides + Totals
Baltimore -1.5 (+110)
Burnes revenge game vs. his old team (JK, this doesn’t matter) but Baltimore’s offense should smash Colin Rea.
KC ML (-115)
Ragans is on the bump for KC and their bats have come alive over the last week.
TEX ML (+100)
Eovaldi is in much better form than Javier, and the Houston bullpen is on empty after their starters have been shelled over the last week.
CIN -1.5 (+105)
The Reds have outscored the ChiSox 16-1 this series and have another mismatch as Mike Soroka takes the hill for Chicago.
ML Parlays:
BAL + TOR (+108)
Strikeout/Pitcher Props
Sitting this one out! Regrouping with the full model + details tomorrow.
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Have a great Sunday, now I have to get outside and work til the sun goes down! See you back here tomorrow, friends!
-Thunder Dan
good work, TD