Thunder Dan's Best Bets

Thunder Dan's Best Bets

MLB Best Bets: Wed 4/5

The Aces are Back: Day Game Bonanza

Dan Palyo's avatar
Dan Palyo
Apr 05, 2023
∙ Paid

What a weird slate it was last night. It was by far my worst slate of K props this year, but I happened to sweep all three total bases props and we hit both HR props (again) for the second time this year.

Heck, two of our total base prop guys (Tucker and Reynolds) both hit home runs! Today we shift back towards pitching again with more aces on the bump, but there are definitely some great spots for hitters, too.

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A quick detailed recap of yesterday’s picks and then on to Wednesday's slate loaded with day games.


April 4 Recap

So I decided I am going to track HR props and include them in my record and +/- units after hitting on 5 of my first 9. You still won’t see me recommend more than 2-3 per slate at most, they are the hardest to hit and I won’t keep hitting them at a 55% rate all season, I know that.

3 Star Bets: 2-2

2 Star Bets: 3-3

1 Star Bets: 1-1

ML Parlay: 0-1

HR Props: 2-0

Overall 4/4: 8-7, +1.31 Units

Season-to-date: 44-31, +14.38 Units

3 Star: 10-6, 2 Star: 14-8, 1 Star: 3-5, ML Parlay: 1-3, HR: 5-4

Definitely an encouraging start to the first week of action!


Straight Bets

3-Stars:

NONE

2-Stars:

SFG-CHW UNDER 7.5 (-115)

1-Star:

MIN-MIA UNDER 7 (+100)

Money Line Parlays:

HOU + TBR = (-110 DK) Safer…Houston come on, don’t hurt us again…

TOR + LAA = (+155 DK) Riskier…

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