MLB BETS AND PROPS - Tues 4/7

So Much For the Afterglow

Man, I was feeling really good after a cathartic column yesterday. And shout out to the readers who sent me personal notes or commented on the piece that they could relate to it in some way.

And so I went on with my Monday to do a lot of productive things, but the Monday slate was not kind to me, as I whiffed (pun intended) on the K props AND NRFI bets BOTH - Jeez. Wins by the Brewers and Phillies helped salvage something, but it was still a tough night.

And so I pick myself back up off the mat today, resolved to get back on track. Shout out to anyone who picked up on the reference in the subtitle today - the title track of Everclear’s 1997 BANGER of an album.

So after dusting myself off and digging back in, I am optimistic about tonight. A lot of good pitchers on the mound and a new bet type to try out this year as well - the ole F5!

I don’t love the juice on these today, but the value on NRFIs is pretty much GONE with all the best spots at -150 or higher, yikes!

We are targeting SP mismatches here and trying to remove the bullpen from the equation. We get both home teams here with better arms on the bump. Sandy Alcantara has been spectacular so far for Miami, and Andrew Abbott is already showing signs of regression from last year.

In the other game, Washington has been hitting lefties hard, and Cade Cavalli is a higher-upside arm than Matthew Liberatore.

Let’s try a NRFI parlay today instead. This is my favorite combo for tonight.

The rest of the card is K props today! I limited myself to SIX spots and left a few good potential plays off the card so we can focus on hitting these at a high rate, rather than chasing volume.

Pitcher Props