NBA Daily Dose: Friday 11/4
It's a wild one!
What a slate of games we have tonight! I was up at 4:30 this morning doing my first look and got really excited for some of these games, but was hoping to have more clarity on some important injury info by now.
We don’t have all the info we need just yet, but we did get thrown a pretty big curveball when the Warriors announced they were going to rest four of their starters tonight against the Pelicans. In hindsight, I wish I had bet Pelicans -4.5 this morning as they were popping in the model but I ended up with their team total instead, and now the spread has moved all the way to -10.5.
There are still plenty of other games to bet on and some solid props coming your way. The value available on the DFS slate is pretty crazy so I am going to try to rank it for you DFS players in addition to providing my cash core and lineup. It’s Friday and it’s almost the weekend, so let’s get right to it!
NBA Game Value Model
The GSW-NO game stands out the most, but remember that the GSW starters are all out and that could get ugly in a hurry, too.
DraftKings DFS CORE
Tyrese Maxey - $6500
Maxey is going to be the dude for awhile with Harden out and this is probably the last time you’ll see him under 7k til Christmas. Embiid isn’t ruled in yet but I expect him to play and you can play Maxey either way.
Jalen McDaniels - $4500
McDaniels projects to be highly owned, but for good reason as he’s been smashing value lately as the Hornets have been so short-handed. He’s SF/PF which is awesome for allowing some flexibility in builds.
Jordan Poole - $6500
This is an ownership play as he will be the most popular of the GSW guys and I am not going to fade him in cash knowing that he could easily go 6-7x on this price as the lead dog tonight. I do want more of the value guys in my GPP builds.
VALUE PLAYS RANKED (all under 5k, most of them under 4k)
